With Week 1 officially in the books we’d like to think we know more about each team and specifically the players we’re making our Picks on. However, it is only one week of data and many of the game flows were not indicative of what to expect on a normal week. Don’t use too much bias of what’s happened in one week when making your Picks for Week 2.
DeMarco Murray (RB) will average at least five yards per carry
Murray had a forgettable Week 1 in the rushing department, with eight carries for nine yards. This week he’s part of a game that boasts the highest over/under total on the board and should feature multiple big plays. Murray averaged 4.7 yards per carry last season and on a game per game basis averaged 5.0 yards per carry or more in exactly half of his games. The Dallas defense doesn’t appear to be an elite run stopping unit, and they have to go on the road to try and slow down Murray and the Eagles. Look for Murray to bounce back nicely this week.
Suggestion: 25 Points X 2.25 Offer: 56.25 Winnings
Keenan Allen (WR) will have at most five receptions
Most are probably going to trend in the opposite direction after Allen tied a franchise record Week 1 with 15 receptions on 17 targets, but there are a few reasons why this Pick makes sense. It’s highly unlikely Allen gets anywhere near 17 targets again this week, as the Chargers early deficit dictated them throwing more. Plus, snagging 15 catches on that many targets (88%) is an anomalous number for a wide receiver. This week the tempo should be much slower, with the Bengals being a run-heavy team, and a fierce comeback through the air would be much tougher on the road.
Suggestion: 25 Points X 2.50 Offer: 62.50 Return
Donte Moncrief (WR) will have more receiving yards than Brandon Marshall (WR)
There’s a good chance Vontae Davis shadows Marshall all game, much in the way he did last week when he held Sammy Watkins to no receptions. The Jets have their own top corner in Darrelle Revis but he may be watching Andre Johnson as opposed to Moncrief. With T.Y. Hilton looking doubtful for this game, Moncrief should take over as the top receiving target for the Colts and out produce his opponent.
Suggestion: 25 Points X 2.67 Offer: 66.75 Return
Odell Beckham Jr. (WR) has at least 130 receiving yards
After last weeks’ endgame debacle, the Giants will look to rebound at home against the Falcons. While Beckham is coming off a modest game (five catches for 44 yards), he had at least 130 receiving yards in six of his final nine games last season. The Giants should be looking to get their top receiver heavily involved.
Suggestion: 15 Points X 4.26 Offer: 63.90 Return
LeGarrette Blount (RB) will have at most 30 rushing yards
Blount returns to the New England backfield after serving his one-game suspension and gets to face one of the best defenses in the league. Guessing how New England’s backfield carries will be distributed is always risky, but Blount is expected to see the majority. The problem is he’ll be facing the Bills’ stout front four that gets back $96 million man Marcell Dareus off his Week 1 suspension. There’s a good chance the game plan shifts to the passing attack with the Patriots putting the offensive burden on Tom Brady. This Pick is slightly risky, but it comes with a nice offer—we say go for it.
Suggestion: 10 Points X 33.33 Offer: 333.33 Return