WEEK 5 PICKS: Crowell to Bounce Back BIG

After a blazing Week 3 that saw almost every superstar in the league go off, Week 4 saw a lot of below average performances that really brought us down to earth. So what will Week 5 bring? It’s uncertain, but there are interesting offers and values to be found:

Lavonte David (D) will have at least four tackles.

David has been unlucky this season in the tackling department, despite being one of the best linebackers in the NFL. He finished last season with 101 total tackles in 14 games, good for a 7.2 total tackles per game average. This season, he’s been in on a lot of tackles (33 combined) but only has 12 total tackles for a three per game average. As a result, it looks like his total tackle number should rise over the rest of the season. Getting four against a run-heavy team should be relatively easy to accomplish.

Suggestion: 25.00 Points X 2.99 Offer = 74.75 Winnings

Allen Hurns (WR) will have at most four receptions.

Hurns could have made a big splash last week if you took advantage of any prop picks including him. The second-year wide receiver hauled in a whopping 11 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown. A closer look at this game reveals that Blake Bortles threw a game-high 15 targets to Hurns, likely for a few reasons. First, Vontae Davis was covering Allen Robinson, causing Hurns to be the more targeted receiver. Additionally, the game went into overtime. So given the game flow, Bortles threw for a season-high 50 times. It’s highly unlikely that Bortles throws that much this week (his previous season-high was 40) and there’s little chance Hurns sees even double-digit targets. This prop pick would have hit in half of Hurns’ games so far this season.

Suggestion: 25 Points X 3.23 Offer = 80.75 Winnings

Owen Daniels (TE) will have at least one touchdown.

As the old saying goes, if it isn’t broke, don’t fix it. The Raiders defense this season has been terrible against opposing tight ends. They’ve given up at least one receiving touchdown to them in each of the first four weeks, and a total of six on the year. Daniels is far from in his prime, but he can still be productive with Peyton under center. He’s scored in each of the last two weeks, and has found it easy to work over the middle with opposing teams focused on stopping Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders.

Suggestion: 25 Points X 5.56 Offer = 139.00 Winnings

Jordan Matthews (WR) will have at least one touchdown.

It was disappointing for anyone who had Matthews-related prop picks last week. Frustratingly, Sam Bradford threw touchdown passes to Brent Celek, Miles Austin and Riley Cooper. While Matthews will likely be a forgotten man by PickChamps’ entrants this week, that’s not a reason to steer clear from him. Matthews is by far the most talented wide receiver the Eagles have, and he has a great home matchup against New Orleans. The Saints have given up seven receiving touchdowns on the season, tied for 20th worst in the league. Matthews has been the most consistently targeted receivers for Philadelphia, with at least eight in every game. Look for one of those targets to result in a touchdown this weekend.

Suggestion: 25.00 Points X 6.67 Offer = 166.75 Winnings

BOLD PREDICTION OF THE WEEK

Isaiah Crowell will rush for at least 96 yards.

After Crowell’s lackluster performance last week, Duke Johnson is likely going to take the spotlight among PickChamps entrants. However, he’s seen more carries than Duke every week thus far, and has the upside to achieve this pick. The Ravens haven’t looked like a tough defense since Terrell Suggs went down in Week 1, and Le’Veon Bell is coming off a 129-yard rushing game against Baltimore. But, what makes this a bold prediction? Crowell’s highest rushing yardage in 20 professional games is 88 yards.

Suggestion: 10.00 Points X 12.50 Offer = 125.00 Winnings

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2 years ago
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Written by Kevin Payne
Kevin has been playing fantasy sports for the last 20 years and got into DFS five years ago. He's been a regular contributor at Rotowire.com for over a decade and covered football, baseball, basketball and soccer. Kevin has had several "big hits" doing DFS over the last several years and continues to play heavily in both DFS and season-long league. At glutton for punishment, he roots for his hometown Bills, Sabres and the New York Yankees.