In Week 6, we’ve got a few more byes coming into consideration along with injuries leaving several stars as unknowns heading into the week.
The Dallas Cowboys, Oakland Raiders, St. Louis Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are off this week. Beyond the Kansas City Chiefs losing Jamaal Charles for the season to a knee injury, the status for stars like quarterback Andrew Luck, Buffalo running back LeSean McCoy, Baltimore running back Justin Forsett, Giants receiver Odell Beckham Jr., Denver receiver Demaryius Thomas and Green Bay receiver Randall Cobb is still to be determined.
Seattle running back Marshawn Lynch could be back, but Thursday we learned that San Francisco running back Carlos Hyde and Indianapolis receiver T.Y. Hilton are dealing with their own injuries. Make sure you know if the athletes you’re Picking with are going to be in the lineup (or use those injuries to your advantage with backups in good spots).
Here are some moves I like this week:
Arian Foster (RB) will have at least 100 yards
Let’s start with a player who has returned to health in Foster. Foster returned for Houston two weeks ago and then had 19 carries last week. He wasn’t efficient last week, only picking up 41 yards, but this week he has Jacksonville’s defense, which has allowed 100.3 yards per game. The Jaguars just allowed 183 rushing yards to Doug Martin and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Texans, with so much disruption at quarterback, will lean on Foster this week on the road.
Suggestion: 15 Points x 6.06 Offer = 90.90 Return
Julian Edelman (WR) will have at least 10 catches
One of the storylines of Week 6 is the New England Patriots facing the Indianapolis Colts, who started the whole “Deflategate” drama last season. Expect coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady to be looking for some revenge this week. We’ve seen what happens when Belichick and Brady are angry.
In the past, New England has run all over Indianapolis in recent meetings. I expect Brady to be the one wanting to do the damage this week and he’ll be looking for his main receiver in Edelman, who can abuse Dallas’ weak cornerback play inside in the slot. Edelman has already had two games this season with double-digit catches. Add another on Sunday night.
Suggestion: 25 Points x 2.44 Offer = 61.00 Return
Kirk Cousins (QB) will have at most 200 passing yards
The outlook for Washington’s offense isn’t good this week in New York to face the Jets’ defense. The Redskins will look to run but is facing the Giants’ eighth-ranked run defense. If there are shut down on the ground (and if they aren’t, it’s still a positive for this Pick), then Cousins will have to go to the air.
New York is second in the league against the pass, giving up just 185.5 yards per game. Cousins isn’t expected to have top receiver DeSean Jackson or top tight end Jordan Reed. Cousins has been a bit better than expected but this game won’t be kind.
Suggestion: 25 Points x 2.56 Offer = 64.00 Return
Everson Griffen (DEF) and Anthony Barr will combine for at least two sacks
Looking at Kansas City without Charles, the responsibility will fall on quarterback Alex Smith’s shoulders. Smith hasn’t demonstrated the ability to carry a team by himself. Minnesota likes to pressure quarterbacks with blitzes from coach Mike Zimmer and Griffen and Barr are often the beneficiaries.
The Vikings will likely be able to slow down the Chiefs’ running game without Charles, leaving Smith to try and go down the field passing. Smith has been sacked 21 times this season, just one behind Russell Wilson’s league-leading total. Griffen has three sacks this season and Barr has added one. Those two will likely be utilized to put as much pressure on Smith as possible.
Suggestion: 25 Points x 5.00 Offer = 125.00 Return
BOLD PREDICTION OF THE WEEK
Calvin Johnson (WR) will have at least three total touchdowns
I’ve picked on Chicago’s defense plenty this year as I feel they are one of the league’s weakest units. In particular, the Bears allow passing touchdowns at will to opponents. This week, Detroit and Calvin Johnson will benefit from the little resistance.
The Lions are searching for their first win of the season and are at home against Chicago. The running game is in flux with rookie Ameer Abdullah being benched at times and Joique Bell being unproductive. Undrafted rookie Zach Zenner and passing down back Theo Riddick have made the running game a four-person committee which has yielded little results.
In getting back on track, quarterback Matt Stafford and Detroit will go to the air to their best playmaker in Johnson. Johnson has one touchdown this season, but nearly had another against Seattle before fumbling. Meanwhile, the Bears have allowed 11 receiving touchdowns in their five games. Johnson makes that number rise even further.
Suggestion: 10 Points x 10.00 Offer = 100.0 Return