WEEK 8 PICKS: Martin to be Bottled Up by Falcons

Another week is in the books, which means it’s time to study up again if you want to be successful on PickChamps. Here are some suggested picks to keep in mind for Week 8:

Darren McFadden (RB) will have at most 54 rushing yards

Everyone seems to be jumping on the McFadden bandwagon after he led the league with 152 rushing yards in Week 7. There are a few reasons to fade McFadden this week though. Joseph Randle has not been ruled out yet, and if he suits up, he’ll certainly snag his share of Dallas’ carries. It’s highly unlikely McFadden gets another 29 carries this week, which will make it tough for him to find triple digits again. Finally, the matchup against the Seahawks will be much tougher than a Giants defense that has looked lost recently. There’s a strong chance if McFadden gets 15 or fewer carries this week, this Pick hits.

Suggestion: 25.00 points X 2.50 Offer = 62.50 Winnings

Antonio Brown (WR) will have at least 8 catches this week

Ben Roethlisberger is expected to return under center this week, so any positive pick backing Brown is worth a look. Last season Brown averaged over eight catches per game with Big Ben and started this season with 9, 9 and 11 grabs over the first three games. The Bengals have been unstoppable on offense this season, which could make this one of the highest scoring games of the weekend. That means Pittsburgh will likely have to throw to keep pace with Cincinnati, boding well for Brown to win this Pick.

Suggestion: 25.00 Points X 2.74 Offer = 68.50 Winnings

Chris Polk (RB) will have at least 8 carries

The most devastating injury in both fantasy and “real” football coming out of Week 7 was the loss of Arian Foster for the season due to an Achilles tear. Foster had at least 18 carries in each of his last three contests, and now someone else in the Texans’ backfield will have to pick up that slack. Enter Polk, who much like the Charcandrick West/Jamaal Charles situation, was already getting work even with Foster healthy. Only two games ago Polk had eight carries, so it would be logical to think he should get at least that many with Foster out. The Texans shouldn’t be in line for a blowout at home against the Titans, which should keep the carries coming into the second half. While Alfred Blue is a threat to be a heavy volume back, Polk should get his touches this week.

Suggestion: 25.00 Points X 2.99 Offer = 74.75 Winnings

David Johnson (RB) will have at least 1 total touchdown

It looks rather obvious to grab the other Johnson on the Cardinals – Chris – and select him this week for this type of a Pick. However, Chris’ offer of 3.57pts, pales in comparison to David’s offer of 6.06pts. David will likely be overlooked, after failing to find the end zone the last two weeks. That trend could see its end this week against a Browns team that was just torched by Todd Gurley. Johnson is still a goal line vulture, as the biggest of the three Arizona running backs, and even has the added bonus of scoring in the return game. Going with fewer than 25 Points here seems wise, as the small risk is worth a nice reward.

Suggestion: 10.00 Points X 6.06 Offer = 60.60 Winnings

BOLD PREDICTION OF THE WEEK

Doug Martin (RB) will have at most 53 rushing yards

This may not seem like a bold prediction on first glance, but should be considered one after taking a peek at Martin’s recent success. He’s rushed for at least 106 yards in each of his last three games, and is averaging 121.6 rushing yards per game over that span. The Buccaneers seem intent on establishing the running game, to take some pressure off Jameis Winston and Martin has 19, 24, 20, 14 and 21 rushing attempts in his last five contests. However, there are a few reasons to reasonably doubt him this week. The Falcons have been excellent against the run this season, as the 6th best team in the league with a 3.7 yards per carry against mark. At home this season, the opposing team’s best rusher recorded just 50, 27 and 20 rushing yards. A blowout is possible in this game as well, putting Tampa’s offense in pass mode during the second half.

Suggestion: 15.00 Points X 6.06 = 90.90 Winnings

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2 years ago
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Written by Kevin Payne
Kevin has been playing fantasy sports for the last 20 years and got into DFS five years ago. He's been a regular contributor at Rotowire.com for over a decade and covered football, baseball, basketball and soccer. Kevin has had several "big hits" doing DFS over the last several years and continues to play heavily in both DFS and season-long league. At glutton for punishment, he roots for his hometown Bills, Sabres and the New York Yankees.